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SEP 17, 2020 7:30 AM PDT

Keynote Presentation: IHME Covid-19 projections for the US: Strategies to reduce the spread

C.E. Credits: P.A.C.E. CE Florida CE
Speaker
  • Chief Strategy Officer, Population Health, University of Washington
    Biography

      Ali H. Mokdad, PhD, is Professor of Health Metrics Sciences at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and Chief Strategy Officer for Population Health at the University of Washington. Prior to IHME, Dr. Mokdad worked at the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. He has published groundbreaking research on local-level disease trends and leading risk factors for poor health. His work on obesity is among the most highly cited in the field.


    Abstract

    The forecast IHME released on March 26, 2020, was geared to helping hospitals plan for a surge in demand for their resources (e.g., beds, ICUs, ventilators) to fight COVID-19. With many locations seeing a second peak of COVID-19 infections and deaths, attention is now on how best to prevent and manage a resurgence of the disease while safely enabling people to get back to work and school. To help with policy decisions, IHME is now providing a reference scenario and two additional forecasts for daily and total deaths. In this seminar, we will provide and Introduction to the IHME model, its limitations, projections for our region, how can the countries use these estimates, and looking ahead.

    Learning Objectives:

    1. The main drivers of the increased cases and deaths?

    2. How we could control this pandemic

    3. The scenarios for this coming winter and the impact of seasonality


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